The Left parties' decline and fall in Orissa
The Left parties, particularly the Communist Party of India and the 
Communist Party of India-Marxist, suffered a major setback in Orissa in the just-concluded Lok Sabha elections.
 
All the four candidates of the two Left parties, including state 
CPI secretary Abani Baral and veteran CPI-M leader Shivaji 
Patnaik who contested the election, lost their deposit.
 
The state assembly is also now unrepresented by the Left parties  
as the Brajarajnagar assembly seat, held by veteran trade union 
leader Prasanna Panda for several years, has been bagged by the Congress in the by-election held along with the general polls in the state. 
The by-election was necessitated by Panda's death.
 
The CPI-M's debacle was greater as its candidate, 
former MP Shivaji Patnaik, who held the  
seat thrice in the past, polled only 17,611 votes, the
lowest ever polled by any CPI-M or CPI candidate in a Lok Sabha
election in the state.
 
Patnaik polled 332,005 votes in the 1989 Lok Sabha 
election. Although he retained the Bhubaneswar seat in 1991, 
the number of votes went down to 214,429. In the 1996 Lok Sabha election, Patnaik,  however, 
lost the seat to the Congress, but polled 218,970 votes.
 
Besides the Bhubaneswar seat, the CPI-M
contested the Berhampur seat. Party candidate 
Ali Kishore Patnaik finished a poor third in
Berhampur polling 36,606 votes.
 
The election proved that the CPI-M vote bank has greatly
reduced over the years. 
 
The Left has been supported in past elections by a major party. In 1977, it 
was the Bharatiya Lok Dal, in 1989, the Janata Party, and in 1991 the 
Janata Dal, which helped the Left win their seats.
 
The CPI-M has polled less than two per cent of the votes in all the 
four Lok Sabha elections since 1977. It, however, registered more 
than two per cent votes in both the 1989 and 1991 Lok Sabha
elections. But the vote share again dropped to 1.6 per cent in
the last election.
 
The CPI's polling percentage over the years has also shown a
declining trend. It secured a record 5.1 per cent in the 1962 Lok
Sabha election, which dropped to 3.9 in the next election.
 
 The CPI, which bagged one seat each in the 1952 and 1957
Lok Sabha elections, retained its position only in 1971 when it
polled 4.3 per cent of votes. The party, however, failed to retain
its traditional Jagatsinghpur seat in the 1977, 1980, and 1984 elections.
 
In 1989, CPI candidate Lok Nath 
Choudhary polled a record 408,057 votes in Jagatsinghpur. 
The party retained the seat in the next 
election, but its votes was reduced to 321,635.
 
The CPI contested all these elections with the support of the major 
non-Congress party in the state. In 1966, it contested the 
Jagatsinghpur seat on its own and lost the deposit.
 
In the last election, the party finished a poor third in Aska and Jagatsinghpur, 
and in the Brajarajnagar 
assembly seats; it forfeited its deposit in all three seats. While in Jagatsinghpur it polled a little 
over 90,000 votes in Aska, the CPI 
candidate secured only 41,400 votes.
 
The Left parties, which all along had a major electoral ally
in the Janata Dal, now appear to find it difficult to retain its
support base in the state with the split in the Janata Dal.
 
A major chunk of the Dal rank and file in almost all the 
districts, have joined the newly formed Biju Janata Dal.
 
The Janata Dal also suffered a major debacle in the state
with all except one of its candidates losing their deposit while
the BJD has emerged as a force in the new political 
arena, bagging nine of the 12 Lok Sabha seats it contested.
 
In the changed political scenario, the BJD, now the 
principal Opposition, having entered into a poll tie-up with the  
BJP in the state, the future of the Left parties seems uncertain.
 
UNI
 
Elections '98
 
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